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VOLUME 3, ISSUE 1, 2008 <Previous Next>

Do Community-Based Voter Mobilization Campaigns Work Even in Battleground States? Evaluating the Effectiveness of MoveOn's 2004 Outreach Campaign

Joel A. Middleton
Donald P. Green


SUGGESTED CITATION:
Joel A. Middleton and Donald P. Green (2008) "Do Community-Based Voter Mobilization Campaigns Work Even in Battleground States? Evaluating the Effectiveness of MoveOn's 2004 Outreach Campaign", Quarterly Journal of Political Science: Vol. 3:No 1, pp 63-82. http:/dx.doi.org/10.1561/100.00007019

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One of the hallmarks of the 2004 presidential election was the unusual emphasis on face-to-face voter mobilization, particularly face-to-face mobilization conducted within neighborhoods or social networks. Unlike previous studies of face-to-face voter mobilization, which have focused largely on nonpartisan campaigns conducted during midterm or local elections, this study assesses the effects of a campaign organized by MoveOn.org, an organization that allied itself with the Democratic Party in 2004 to aid presidential candidate John Kerry. A regression discontinuity analysis of 46,277 voters from 13 swing states demonstrates that neighbor-to-neighbor mobilization substantially increased turnout among target voters during the 2004 presidential election. Contact with MoveOn volunteers increased turnout by approximately nine percentage-points. This finding corroborates experimental findings showing the effectiveness of door-to-door canvassing but contradicts results suggesting that such mobilization is ineffective in the context of high-salience elections.

Forthcoming articles

Primary Elections and Partisan Polarization in the U.S. Congress
Shigeo Hirano, James M. Snyder, Jr., Stephen Ansolabehere, and John Mark Hansen


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