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VOLUME 3, ISSUE 1, 2008 |
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| | Do Community-Based Voter Mobilization Campaigns Work Even in Battleground States? Evaluating the Effectiveness of MoveOn's 2004 Outreach Campaign
Joel A. Middleton Donald P. Green
SUGGESTED CITATION: Joel A. Middleton
and Donald P. Green
(2008) "Do Community-Based Voter Mobilization Campaigns Work Even in Battleground States? Evaluating the Effectiveness of MoveOn's 2004 Outreach Campaign",
Quarterly Journal of Political Science: Vol. 3:No
1, pp 63-82.
http:/dx.doi.org/10.1561/100.00007019 |
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One of the hallmarks of the 2004 presidential election was the unusual emphasis on face-to-face voter mobilization, particularly face-to-face mobilization conducted within neighborhoods or social networks. Unlike previous studies of face-to-face voter mobilization, which have focused largely on nonpartisan campaigns conducted during midterm or local elections, this study assesses the effects of a campaign organized by MoveOn.org, an organization that allied itself with the Democratic Party in 2004 to aid presidential candidate John Kerry. A regression discontinuity analysis of 46,277 voters from 13 swing states demonstrates that neighbor-to-neighbor mobilization substantially increased turnout among target voters during the 2004 presidential election. Contact with MoveOn volunteers increased turnout by approximately nine percentage-points. This finding corroborates experimental findings showing the effectiveness of door-to-door canvassing but contradicts results suggesting that such mobilization is ineffective in the context of high-salience elections.
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Forthcoming articles
| Primary Elections and Partisan Polarization in the U.S. Congress Shigeo Hirano, James M. Snyder, Jr., Stephen Ansolabehere, and John Mark Hansen |
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